Will climate change alter the landscape of general election campaigning?

Wednesday 6th November 2019

Today the starting gun officially triggers five weeks of political campaigning before the general election on December 12.

It is not as if the UK has been short of political dialogue in the past three years, with all the cross-party wrangling over Brexit, but while the population have been complaining about the tedium of it all, there is no doubt that engagement with the issues of the day are higher than they have been for  decades.

The divisive nature of Brexit has generated really tribal outcomes with not only party fighting party and within their own ranks too, but families feuding as well.

However, there is another issue that is trending as high, not only in the UK but across the planet, and that is climate change.

In fact many would argue that without attention being placed on the rate at which global warming is occuring, there is absolutely no reason to worry about Brexit.

David Attenborough’s latest TV feast is highlighting the issue, climate rebellion protests are being held across the globe and teenager Greta Thunberg has become a universal figure, and perhaps icon.

So how will the established political parties deal with this issue in the coming weeks, if at all?

Well so far it has definitely been Brexit that has dominated the election landscape but as the Green Party unveiled their manifesto Johnson and Corbyn will have something to discuss.

Co-leader Sian Berry stated in her election speech, "Some things are even bigger than Brexit. This must be the climate election."

The Greens’ plans are very ambitious. They plan to invest £100billion every year for a decade, in a plan to make the UK carbon neutral by 2030, funding the regime by borrowing 91.2billion a year and raising anther £9 billion through tax changes.

Of course , Johnson’s administration are aware that climate change must feature in an election manifesto, but their commitment to being carbon neutral by 2050, is seen by many protesters as too little too late.

Labour has always been a more natural home for green issues than the Tory Party, but it is likely that they will have to both up their agenda in this regard if they are to attract young voters.

While the Green Party still have only one MP in parliament, Caroline Lucas, they will certainly be hoping to  catch more voters at this election, and have a clear remain policy when it comes to Brexit.

In fact, while many regard this as a Brexit election, it maybe that Climate change issues could finally rise to the top of the agenda in which case Johnson and co. will be scurrying to their advisors to ensure they are on point.

In the same way as Liberal leader Jo Swinson is demanding to be included in any televised debate, the Greens are now asking for their voice to be included as well.

Government After Next General Election

Conservative Majority 8/15
Labour Minority 11/2
Conservative Minority 6/1
Conservative – Brexit Party Coalition 10/1
Conservative – Dup Coalition 14/1
Labour – Lib Dem – Snp Coalition 20/1
Labour – Lib Dem Coalition 25/1
Labour – Snp Coalition 25/1
Labour Majority 28/1
Conservative – Lib Dem Coalition 33/1
Lib Dem Minority 66/1
Lib Dem – Snp Coalition 150/1
Conservative – Labour Coalition 200/1
Lib Dem Majority 200/1
Brexit Party Minority 500/1
Brexit Party Majority 1000/1

Government After Next General Election

4. Conservative – Brexit Party Coalition
5. Conservative – Dup Coalition
6. Labour – Lib Dem – Snp Coalition
7. Labour – Lib Dem Coalition
10. Conservative – Lib Dem Coalition
12. Lib Dem – Snp Coalition
13. Conservative – Labour Coalition
Odds correct as of 13th Nov, 10:11 . Odds are subject to change.
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