10:09
Brexit

Unprecedented times for UK politics as PM gets ruthless

Tuesday 3rd September 2019
Dominic_grieve

There is absolutely no doubt that these are unprecedented times in UK politics, with many suggesting that there has not been such turmoil in the House of Commons since WW2.

In fact there are many that would argue that the present constitutional crisis is more severe than in 1939, because at least then political parties were able to unite against a common enemy.

Currently there is not only conflict between different political parties, but within them, with deselection being threatened by the PM if Tory MPs vote against him, and even some Labour Party MPs suggesting that because they represent Leave constituencies they may actually vote with Johnson today or at the very least abstain.

As MPs return from their Summer recess, as a result of Boris Johnson’s proroguation of parliament, time is of the essence and the Commons will hit the ground running today. The focus of the members will be on preventing the government from exiting the EU with no deal and to that end will be voting on a motion set down by Hilary Benn.

Commentators suggest that the numbers are very close, but with the likes of Dominic Grieve openly declaring that he will vote against Johnson today regardless of the threat of expulsion, there will be other senior Tories who are prepared to do the same thing.

In fact such is the unprecedented nature of the times that Grieve made it clear when he was interviewed on BBC Breakfast this morning by Louise Minchin, that he could see the Conservative Party unravelling and falling apart.

However, today is only step one of the chaos that could unfold this week, for even if the Commons is able to pass a motion to prevent the UK leaving the EU without a deal, when it passes to the House of Lords on Thursday, there could well be strategies afoot in the second chamber by loyal Tory peers, to slow down the process, so that the law can not be passed before parliament is prorogued.

It seems that Brexit has managed to blur party lines and loyalties in a way that would have seemed unthinkable in the past and while Johnson protests that he doesn’t want a general election and Corbyn has always pushed for one, it seems that currently pollsters Mori suggest that Boris is still ahead with the electorate and might win at the ballot box.

Of course, if that was the case, his majority is very unlikely to be of any substance, so the whole Brexit shenanigans would start again exactly where it started.

It seems that British politics may well have changed forever as the pound continues to fall against both the euro and the dollar!

No Deal Brexit in 2019

No (Withdrawal Agreement Is Ratified, Article 50 Extended Beyond 2019 Or Article 50 Revoked) 1/8
Yes (Uk Leave The Eu In 2019 Without Withdrawal Agreement In Place) 5/1
Odds correct as of 16th Oct, 10:30 . Odds are subject to change.
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