Trump is impeached by the House of Representatives

Thursday 19th December 2019

Since the Apprentice star rose to the heady state of President of the United States, there have been many attempts to discredit him.

This has actually not been a difficult enterprise, given the president’s own predilection to rant on Twitter, to fire many of those around him and to make extraordinary non-politically correct statements at his rallies, but up to now nothing has stuck.

In fact, the most contentious president in US history has proved to be unexpectedly successful, with a reasonable popularity rating largely because of the boost to the American economy.

However, finally last year, his dealings with the Ukrainian president finally came to light and his adversaries finally had something that they thought would stick and perhaps lead to his downfall.

Charges that he abused his office for personal gain, by offering the Ukrainian government defence spending in return for intelligence abut his potential rival in the 2020 election, Joe Biden, was suddenly enough to start impeachment proceedings.

Yesterday, after a lengthy judicial process, during which Trump was also very obstructive, Congress finally agreed that the president was indeed guilty of foul ply and his case would be sent to The Senate for ratification.

This is of course, a serious business for Trump, being only the third president in US history to be so charged, but the second impeachment will give him most comfort.

Almost exactly 21 years ago, Bill Clinton was also found guilty by the House of Representatives and sent on to the Senate who had the power to remove him from office.

The reason that this will give Trump comfort is that the upper and lower houses of parliament are skewed in his favour just as they were in Cinton’s era.

Clinton was found guilty by a Republican majority in Congress and absolved by a Democrat majority in the Senate and Trump was found guilty by a Democrat majority in the House of Representatives and is expected to be absolved by a Republican majority in the Senate.

To remove the Trump from office requires a two third majority to find him guilty and , in a high stakes political game, Republicans are simplynever going to shoot down their own man, regardless of the evidence.

Of course, even if he does emerge from this piece of Washington theatre, Trump will not be untainted, which will enthuse Democrats as they move into an election campaign in 2020.

However, it is worth pointing out that however unlikely it may seem that Trump became president the first place, Clinton beat the impeachment process and went on to serve a second term and there is every possibility that extraordinarily Trump will do the same.

Will this whole process curb the 45th president’s behaviour? Absolutely not. He was already engaging his Twitter finger to rage against the Washington machine and he is sure to do the same in the coming weeks.

2020 Presidential Election winner

Donald Trump 10/11
Joe Biden 11/2
Bernie Sanders 8/1
Pete Buttigieg 9/1
Elizabeth Warren 10/1
Michael Bloomberg 14/1
Hillary Clinton 25/1
Andrew Yang 33/1
Mike Pence 40/1
Nikki Haley 50/1
Beto O'rourke 66/1
Amy Klobuchar 66/1
Cory Booker 66/1
Kirsten Gillibrand 100/1
John Kasich 100/1
Mitt Romney 100/1
Julian Castro 100/1
Andrew Cuomo 150/1
Oprah Winfrey 150/1

2020 Presidential Election winner

Odds correct as of 19th Dec, 09:39 . Odds are subject to change.
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