Starting pistol fires on December 12 general election campaign
After three long years of the British political landscape being dominated by Brexit, the starting gun for weeks of even more intense politicking was fired in parliament yesterday when MPs voted 438 to 20 to have a general election on December 12.
Of course all parties are under no illusion, that the central topic will indeed be Brexit again, but there will , for once, be more attention placed on domestic issues, especially by Labour.
Parliament looks set to be dissolved next Wednesday, narrowly missing the Guy Fawkes anniversary, which the media would have had great fun with in their headlines and then MPs will be taking to the streets, the airwaves and TV screens to try and secure victory.
The initially catchphrases dealt by Johnson and Corbyn were as to be expected. The prime minister explained, “It’s time to get the country united and get Brexit done”, and the leader of the Opposition stated that, “We will now launch ambitious and radical campaign.”
Given the intense focus on politics in the past three years, and the passion that has surrounded the question of Brexit, it is expected to be one of the most vitriolic campaigns in recent years, with television debates likely to throw up some scorching debates.
Currently both Boris Johnson and the Tories are in the lead, if an average is taken across the many available polls, but it is worth remembering that Corbyn made a spectacular surge in 2017, which lead to the current minority government that has handcuffed the PM.
It is also no surprise, that with Jo Swinson now leading the Liberal Democrats, and their clear Revoke Article 50 manifesto, that many remainers, who constituted 48 percent of the electorate in 2016, will vote Lib Dem for the first time.
One thing that does seem certain among the chaos, is that Boris Johnson has managed to overwhelm the Brexit Party vote and having welcomed 10 of the expelled MPs back to the Tory fold, he is giving his party a fighting chance of success.
Pollsters, as ever, will now have an absolute field day, touting their statistics to every agency. However, their record here, as well as the States has been terrible, so it seems that the only certain outcome is that everything is uncertain.
Looks like it’s going to be a very unfestive run up to the festive season.
Next UK Government
|Conservative – Brexit Party Coalition||10/1|
|Conservative – Dup Coalition||14/1|
|Labour – Lib Dem – Snp Coalition||20/1|
|Labour – Lib Dem Coalition||25/1|
|Labour – Snp Coalition||25/1|
|Conservative – Lib Dem Coalition||33/1|
|Lib Dem Minority||66/1|
|Lib Dem – Snp Coalition||150/1|
|Conservative – Labour Coalition||200/1|
|Lib Dem Majority||200/1|
|Brexit Party Minority||500/1|
|Brexit Party Majority||1000/1|