Polling stations are open as 650 constituencies choose their next UK government

Thursday 12th December 2019

There are only 13 sleeps until Christmas, the focus of old and young alike, but overshadowing the festive season for the first time in a century, is the fact that in only one sleep the UK will know who will lead the country for the next five years.

650 constituencies are up for grabs, and 326 is the magic number required to get over the line and become incumbent in 10 Downing Street.

So who is going to win?

Well the bookies are in favour of a Tory majority, based largely on the polls that have been taken in the run up to the election. However, the pollsters have been wrong before and, given the confusion that Brexit has brought to the voting procedure this year it is much harder to predict the outcome.

Will festive planning make it more unlikely that people will vote, or not?

Will cold wet weather stop the electorate from venturing out to ballot boxes, or not?

Although historically older people are more likely to vote than youngsters - at the 2017 general election, 59% of 20- to 24-year-olds voted, compared with 77% of 60- to 69-year-olds - or has Brexit and the climate change debate politicised more youngsters which could make a huge impact on the outcome, or not?

Many have billed this as ‘a once in a lifetime’ election, however, the same was said about the EU Referendum in 2016 and look at where that took the country.

However, when all is aid and done, there will be no more electioneering for at least 24 hours, which will come as a relief to many, although the subsquent political analysis will inevitably be intense whoever is in charge.

If that is, the UK is not compromised by yet another hung parliament.

Next UK Government

Conservative Majority 1/3
Labour Minority 6/1
Conservative Minority 11/1
Labour – Snp Coalition 12/1
Conservative – Dup Coalition 18/1
Labour – Lib Dem – Snp Coalition 22/1
Labour – Lib Dem Coalition 25/1
Labour Majority 25/1
Conservative – Brexit Party Coalition 33/1
Conservative – Lib Dem Coalition 66/1
Lib Dem – Snp Coalition 200/1
Lib Dem Minority 200/1
Conservative – Labour Coalition 300/1
Lib Dem Majority 400/1
Brexit Party Minority 750/1

Next UK Government

5. Conservative – Dup Coalition
6. Labour – Lib Dem – Snp Coalition
7. Labour – Lib Dem Coalition
9. Conservative – Brexit Party Coalition
10. Conservative – Lib Dem Coalition
11. Lib Dem – Snp Coalition
13. Conservative – Labour Coalition
Odds correct as of 12th Dec, 09:35 . Odds are subject to change.
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