Long-Bailey and Starmer rise to top after Labour leadership first round

Tuesday 14th January 2020
Keir Starmer

Neither the bookies or the pollsters will have been at all surprised when Rebecca long-Bailey and Keir Starmer emerged in front after Labour conducted the first round of their leadership election.

However, both of these individuals represent quite different positions and Long-Bailey, closely associated with Corbyn has the shadow of his crippling defeat hanging over her.

Starmer, while a member of Corbyn’s cabinet, and front and centre of the European furore, as Brexit secretary, consistently presented himself as a measured sensible and above all capable figure during the whole process.

The ex-barrister, offers a more presentable person to those who sensed that Labour’s surge to the Left under Corbyn was detrimental.

Having both garnered the requisite 22 MPs or MEPs before the first vote, Starmer emerged with 88 nominations, placing him way ahead of the competition, with Long-Bailey emerging in second place with 33.

Wigan MP Lisa Nandy was not far behind on 31, with Emily Thornberry and Jess Phillips on 23.

Unfortunately shadow treasury secretary, Clive Lewis, who strangely thought his suggestion to have a referendum on banning the monarchy, would be a popular move, was unable to garner the support of more than 5 of his colleagues and so had to withdraw from the race.

That leaves Starmer fighting against four women as the process moves to constituency parties, the unions and the membership.

It will be a source of joy, in the interest of equality and diversity, that there are so many women on the ballot paper, but a source of embarrassment that the only man appears to be the most marketable.

It will also be rather awkward that Starmer represents a London constituency, when it appears from the general election results that Labour lost many votes in the north of the country, for appearing to be too London-centric.

Bearing in mind that Labour is very much on the back  foot in parliament now, the unions will have to decide if it is time for them to abandon the Corbyn experiment and look to a less radical socialist model to follow in Starmer, or if by backing Long-Bailey they seek to keep this alive.

Starmer has it all to lose at the moment, although Lisa Nandy could well be the dark horse in this race, who could surprise everyone.

To Win We Must Unite All of Labour’s Heartlands

Next Labour leader

Keir Starmer 1/3
Rebecca Long-Bailey 4/1
Lisa Nandy 7/1
Jess Phillips 22/1
Emily Thornberry 40/1
Hilary Benn SP
Dawn Butler SP
Harriet Harman SP
Dan Jarvis SP
Rachel Reeves SP
Angela Eagle SP
Lucy Powell SP
Owen Smith SP
Jim Mcmahon SP
David Lammy SP
Chuka Umunna SP
Jonathan Ashworth SP
Liz Kendell SP
Tristram Hunt SP
Tom Watson SP
Angela Rayner SP
Lavery, Ian SP
Stella Creasy SP
Chris Leslie SP
Chris Williamson SP
Laura Pidcock SP
David Miliband SP
Diane Abbot SP
Nia Griffith SP
Andy Burnham SP
John Mcdonnell SP
Chi Onwurah SP
Yvette Cooper SP
Heidi Alexander SP
Clive Lewis SP
Richard Burgon SP
Stephen Kinnock SP
Sarah Champion SP
Alan Johnson SP
Sadiq Khan SP
Barry Gardiner SP
Each Way Terms

Next Labour leader

Odds correct as of 14th Jan, 10:01 . Odds are subject to change.
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