Labour narrows Tory lead in latest polls

Thursday 14th November 2019

At the beginning of the general election campaign, it seemed that the bookies and the pollsters both agreed that the Tories were likely to win and Boris Johnson would be validate for having succumbed to the draw of the ballot box.

However, as everyone is aware, politics in the UK has changed, since Brexit has been added to the mix. As the media caravan travels around the country, to take the political temperature of British citizens, it is becoming clear that stalwart Tories and loyal Labour supporters are abandoning their political homes and looking elsewhere for succour.

In fact, while this was always considered to be a Brexit election and tantamount to a second referendum, as politicians move into the second week of electioneering, domestic issues are raising their heads and Johnson has been put on the back foot.

The NHS has of course emerged as a frontrunner in the debate, as it always does as well as policing and living standards.

Unfortunately for the PM, the flooding issues in Fishlake could not have come at a worse time either. Images of him being brought to task over the emergency response to this catastrophe were beamed across TV screens and he was caught in the headlights like a shocked cat.

The upshot of all of this unfolding story is that Jeremy Corbyn is actually reining in Johnson and there are still four weeks of campaigning to go.

In what is termed a ‘rolling average’ of opinion polls Labour has boosted their support from 22 percent to 29 percent in the last week, and much of it appears to have come as a result of the government’s reaction to the flooding crisis.

Corbyn was quick to point out that the poor and lackadaisical response would simply not have occurred if it were in Surrey or somewhere in the home counties, which seems to have struck a chord with voters in the north.

Much in the same way that the fire in the Grenfell Tower, was seen as an issue about the haves and the have nots and Theresa May was very slow in attending the scene or showing her despair, it seems Johnson has fallen into absolutely the same trap.

Boris would be wise to remember how Theresa May went to the country in 2017 to give gravitas to her mandate as PM and emerged weaker than before.

It may well be that after forcing a general election, now that Brexit has blended into the rest of the political debates, Johnson could rue the day that he declared the ballot boxes would open on December 12.

Government Of UK After The Net General Election

Conservative Majority 4/7
Labour Minority 4/1
Conservative Minority 7/1
Labour, Liberal Democats & Snp 16/1
Labour & Liberal Democrats 20/1
Conservative & Liberal Democrats 20/1
Labour & Snp Coalition 22/1
Conservative & Brexit Party 25/1
Labour Majority 25/1
Liberal Democrats Minority 50/1
Conservative & Labour 66/1
Brexit Party Majority 100/1
Liberal Democrats Majority 100/1
Liberal Democrats & Snp 100/1
Labour & Brexit Party 100/1
Conservative & Snp 200/1
Each Way Terms

Government Of UK After The Net General Election

4. Labour, Liberal Democats & Snp
5. Labour & Liberal Democrats
6. Conservative & Liberal Democrats
8. Conservative & Brexit Party
10. Liberal Democrats Minority
13. Liberal Democrats Majority
Odds correct as of 14th Nov, 11:04 . Odds are subject to change.
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