12:08
UK

Johnson’s bid for early general election fails again as contentious prorogation of parliament begins

Tuesday 10th September 2019
HOUSE_OF_COMMONS

Last night, amid unusually chaotic and vitriolic scenes, even for the House of Commons which is used to its fair share of drama, parliament was prorogued for five weeks, after Prime Minister Boris Johnson lost his second attempt at calling a snap general election.

Johnson brought the election motion to the Commons last week and was unable to get the two-thirds majority required to trigger the ballot boxes. Last night he tried again, in the clear belief that given the polls suggest the Tories are ahead of Labour in the polls despite the last weeks of maverick behaviour, he might be successful.

Opposition parties and political pundits seemed equally sure that the PM would not have his wish granted until he had at least agreed to not implementing a no deal with Europe, and it seems they were proved right.

Only 293 MPs supported the government’s motion despite the political intuition of many to take their arguments directly to the electorate.

In fact the current so-called rebel alliance between Labour, the SNP, Liberal Democrats, Plaid Cymru and the Greens, is the first time in three years that a group, of any colour has been able to form a cohesive majority.

This cohesion was clearly visible when, after parliamentary procedure was concluded, the much maligned prorogation of parliament was enacted.

The drama was  tangible as banners were raised saying ’Silent’ and the Opposition benches resounded to taunts of, “ Shame on you” as  Black Rod led the Speaker out of the chamber.

MPs will now have to find a way to re-strategise their Brexit manoeuvres in their unexpected five-week break, with many focused on Johnson’s  attempt to circumnavigate the Hilary Benn bill which prevents him from leaving the European bloc without a deal.

Parliament may not be sitting in the next five weeks, but be assured politicians will be rife on the media.

Along with machinations about the Brexit process, and whether or not Johnson is securing a deal, or negotiating at all, election campaigning is also very likely to unfold.

All parties are well aware that an election is definitely in the pipeline before Christmas, so both Brexit policies and domestic policies post-Brexit are sure to be front and centre.

Meanwhile, when Johnson met Varadkar in Dublin yesterday, he indicated that he would prefer a deal with the EU if possible, but the Irish leader pointed out that he had as yet not seen or heard of any alternative propositions from the British PM.

Parliament may well be shut down, but parliamentarians will certainly not be quiet in the next weeks.

Conservatives 1/7
Labour 11/2
Liberal Democrats 22/1
Any Other 33/1
Greens 500/1

BEST ODDS
Odds correct as of 28th Oct, 09:59 . Odds are subject to change.

Boris Johnson Betting

Boris Johnson To Lead The Conservatives At Next General Election 1/14
Boris Johnson To Be The Shortest Serving Pm Ever (Under 119 Days) 5/6
Boris Johnson To Be Replaced As Prime Minister In 2019 5/2
Boris Johnson To Leave The Conservative Party In 2019 13/2
Boris Johnson To Not Lead The Conservatives At Next General Election 7/1
Boris Johnson To Become Pm In 2019 15/2
Boris Johnson To Be Suspended From The House Of Commons In 2019 14/1

Boris Johnson Betting

BEST ODDS
1. Boris Johnson To Lead The Conservatives At Next General Election
1/14
2. Boris Johnson To Be The Shortest Serving Pm Ever (Under 119 Days)
5/6
3. Boris Johnson To Be Replaced As Prime Minister In 2019
5/2
4. Boris Johnson To Leave The Conservative Party In 2019
13/2
5. Boris Johnson To Not Lead The Conservatives At Next General Election
7/1
6. Boris Johnson To Become Pm In 2019
15/2
7. Boris Johnson To Be Suspended From The House Of Commons In 2019
14/1
Odds correct as of 24th Oct, 10:03 . Odds are subject to change.
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