Former cabinet minister David Gauke runs as Independent

Wednesday 13th November 2019

The Brexit debate over the last two years has not only divided families and communities, but also political parties in a way which would have been unheard of in the past.

Party loyalties which would have been ingrained in politicians, no longer hold water, which also reflects the mood of the electorate and makes this general election so hard to predict.

Yesterday Labour MP Ian Austin decried his leader as incapable of leading the country, which sent the Tories into campaigning revelry, but today ex-Justice Minister David Gauke announced he would be running as an Independent because he believes the Tories’ Brexit plans would disembowel the domestic economy.

In the various media interviews he conducted today, he even went as far as suggesting that Conservative voters should vote for Jo Swinson and the Liberal Democrats to ensure that Boris Johnson’s strategies were tethered.

In any election campaign, it is inevitable that each side will endeavour to dig up dirt on the other to secure a victory. Stories of personal or professional misdemeanours are jumped on with vigour to undermine the opposition, with one colourful tale outdoing the rest to influence the electorate.

However, this time the process appears to be very different

In 2019, both parties are being attacked from within, as rogue MPs voice their personal disappointment with their party.

You would think that such outcries would be even more impactful, however because they are happening on all sides in a way they cancel each other out.

However, as Labour and Tory MPs have been seen to reassess their loyalties, it seems one direction that there has been no leakage is from the Liberal Democrats.

So far there have been no headline grabbing stories about discontent Lib Dems decrying the new leader Jo Swinson, or her policies, which is definitely a good portent for them.

Tory and Labour MPs have crossed the floor to join her party, largely because her opinion on Brexit is absolutely clear. Jo Swinson is a pro-European and proud of the fact.

Also, by operating with Plaid Cymru and the Green Party, in the rebel alliance, their strategy is clear, uncompromising and straightforward. In the current hazy political landscape inhabited by the two main parties, this is extremely attractive.

David Gauke’s endorsement of the Lib Dem position today, will be another feather in their cap.

Government After The Next General Election

Conservative Majority 1/3
Labour Minority 6/1
Conservative Minority 11/1
Labour – Snp Coalition 12/1
Conservative – Dup Coalition 18/1
Labour – Lib Dem – Snp Coalition 22/1
Labour – Lib Dem Coalition 25/1
Labour Majority 25/1
Conservative – Brexit Party Coalition 33/1
Conservative – Lib Dem Coalition 66/1
Lib Dem – Snp Coalition 200/1
Lib Dem Minority 200/1
Conservative – Labour Coalition 300/1
Lib Dem Majority 400/1
Brexit Party Minority 750/1

Government After The Next General Election

5. Conservative – Dup Coalition
6. Labour – Lib Dem – Snp Coalition
7. Labour – Lib Dem Coalition
9. Conservative – Brexit Party Coalition
10. Conservative – Lib Dem Coalition
11. Lib Dem – Snp Coalition
13. Conservative – Labour Coalition
Odds correct as of 12th Dec, 09:35 . Odds are subject to change.
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