Dominic Grieve given helping hand by Liberal Democrats

Thursday 31st October 2019

Some have described the next few weeks as ‘a festival of political debate’,  as the country moves towards a general election. However, after three years of torrid politicking, few expect the imminent discussions to be as polite as that phrase might indicate.

Passions are high, the stakes are even higher. and as we have seen since Johnson became PM, this can lead to unchartered paths being traversed, even breaking the law, to secure victory.

Although Boris seems to be consistently trending higher than any other leader in the polls, no one seems to be convinced by their predictions.

Essentially, while parties will be beating a drum about their domestic manifestos, most agree that it will largely be Brexit that is at the core of any discussion.

Subsequently, those who might consistently vote for one party, will cross party lines and choose a party they may never have been affiliated with before.

Alliances are expected between parties in particular constituencies, to ensure a particular outcome, the first of which appears to be between Dominic Grieve and the Liberal Democrats.

Grieve has been a thorn in the government’s side for the past three years, as a strident remainer, and has tabled a variety of motions to curb the administration’s appetite for a no deal Brexit.

Boris Johnson brought this to a head when he expelled Grieve and 20 other Tory MPs for voting against him in the House of Commons.

Although the whip was restored to 10 rebels, Grieve was not one of them and he will stand in the upcoming election as an independent.

The former Attorney-General and MP for Beaconsfield will stand against a new Tory candidate, but Lib Dem leader Jo Swanson has indicated the will not field a candidate, in order to give Grieve the greatest chance of success.

Swanson knows that should Grieve win his seat he will support her policy of revoking Article 50, whereas fielding a candidate would split the remain vote and potentially allow another Tory leave campaigner into Westminster.

It is for this very reason, that predicting the outcome of this election is so difficult.

Alliances are expected to be made across the country, especially in the vital marginal seats, which is definitely where the keys to No 10 will be won or lost.

General Election - Liberal Democrats UK Vote Percentage

2000 - 2499% 7/4
1500 - 1999% 9/4
2500 - 2999% 5/1
1000 - 1499% 11/2
3000% Or Higher 15/2
500 - 999% 18/1
499% Or Lower 50/1

General Election - Liberal Democrats UK Vote Percentage

Odds correct as of 31st Oct, 09:10 . Odds are subject to change.
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