Can Boris still force a no deal Brexit?
The storms are gathering over Westminster, and while Jeremy Corbyn has cited that he is eager to have a general election once the possibility of a no deal Brexit has been cemented, there is still the possibility that regardless of the Benn Act,( which forces Johnson to ask for an extension) if a deal has not been agreed he might still stay on this isolationist track.
From the outset, Johnson has insisted that the UK will leave the EU on Halloween, with the same gusto as Trump employed with his Make America Great Again mantra.
Even International Trade Secretary reiterated this message yesterday with the conviction that, "We'll leave without a deal. That's clear - deal or no deal, we're leaving on the 31st.”
So how can a prime minister, who it appears is shackled by the law, achieve his ambition if he can’t win over Brussels with his version of The Withdrawal Agreement?
There seems to be a couple of options.
Firstly Johnson could follow the letter of the law, write the letter as set out in The Benn Act and follow it up with a second letter which then revokes the first, or he could persuade one of the EU 27 to veto his letter which would make the EU unable to grant the extension as requested.
In the most dramatic scenario, which even Cummings and Johnson might see as a step too far, the prime minister could simply refuse to send the letter, wait for the law to be implemented and hope the time that the lawyers would take would be longer than the October 31 deadline.
He could even simply refuse to resign, even if he lost a vote of no confidence in his administration, and squat in Number 10.
In normal political circumstances all of these alternatives to requesting a Brexit extension would appear to be in the realms of fantasy, but these are simply not normal times and the UK’s political landscape is being etched daily with unexpected and unexplored paths and territory.
It is therefore absolutely no surprise that Corbyn is reluctant to hand the PM a general election, when he has given the opposition parties little indication that he can be trusted.
We can't trust you not to use the period of an election campaign to drive our country off a No Deal cliff edge that will crash our economy.
We'll have that election once No Deal is off the table.
Government After The Next Election
|Labour – Snp Coalition||12/1|
|Conservative – Dup Coalition||18/1|
|Labour – Lib Dem – Snp Coalition||22/1|
|Labour – Lib Dem Coalition||25/1|
|Conservative – Brexit Party Coalition||33/1|
|Conservative – Lib Dem Coalition||66/1|
|Lib Dem – Snp Coalition||200/1|
|Lib Dem Minority||200/1|
|Conservative – Labour Coalition||300/1|
|Lib Dem Majority||400/1|
|Brexit Party Minority||750/1|