£25 will buy vote on next Labour leader

Tuesday 7th January 2020

Yesterday the Labour Party’s national executive agreed on the rules, regulations and timetable to elect a replacement to Jeremy Corbyn.

Initially any candidate will have to win the backing of 10 percent of Labour MPs and MEPs,by January 13 after which Constituency Labour Parties (CLPs) and related organisations will have until February 14 to make their nominations.

However, unlike the Conservative Party, there is the element of Labour Party members on the ground who also will have a role to play in the outcome.

The Labour Party has long outnumber the Tory Party in terms of members and it was this element that many attribute Jeremy Corbyn’s success. When Corbyn was elected, a fee of only £5 was charged to those who wanted to join the Party and then vote on its leader, this time the executive have decided that a charge of £25 will secure a temporary membership with voting rights, which may deter some from trying to affect the outcome.

The actual ballot will open on February 21, but will not close until April 2, with the result being unveiled at a Special conference on April 4.

The system, while deemed as a much fairer one than the Tories, while opening the decision to those outside Westminster, is felt to favour those on the left of the party like Corbyn.

However, after such a crushing defeat in December at the ballot box, there are few that will want to repeat Corbyn’s misadventure at the helm and will be ken to see the party in a completely different direction.

The bookies, and the pollsters are favouring Keir Starmer, as the one to beat, but the4 Shadow Business Secretary Long-Bailey, who was seen on Corbyn’s he’s throughout the election, is surprisingly no far behind.

Starmer certainly strikes a more slick and business-like figure than Corbyn ever did, but the desire to finally have a woman at the helm may well push Jess Phillips, or even Lisa Nandy to the top.

Interestingly seasoned female politicians like Yvette Cooper,  still have the long shadow of Blairism hanging over them, so while experienced, it appears the bookies deem that she will have little chance of even being nominated.

Emily Thornberry however, it does seem is gaining momentum, although her proximity to Corbyn on the front benches could be seen as retaining the status quo which failed in the general election.

Clive Lewis appears to be the only other potential male candidate to join Starmer, but he is disadvantaged by his vague public persona, which deems him unlikely to get any chance of a win.

It will be difficult for the Labour Party to contest many of Boris Johnson’s inevitable bullish moves regarding Brexit in the next few months being in such a state of disarray and will be a ship that will be particularly difficult for the next helmsman to steer decisively.

Keir Starmer 4/6
Rebecca Long-Bailey 2/1
Lisa Nandy 8/1
Jess Phillips 12/1
Clive Lewis 28/1
Yvette Cooper 33/1
Emily Thornberry 50/1
Dan Jarvis 50/1
Angela Rayner 66/1
David Miliband 100/1
Hilary Benn 200/1
Sadiq Khan 200/1
Stephen Kinnock 200/1
Tristram Hunt SP
Richard Burgon SP
Chuka Umunna SP
Angela Eagle SP
Diane Abbot SP
Laura Pidcock SP
Andy Burnham SP
Stella Creasy SP
Chi Onwurah SP
Heidi Alexander SP
Liz Kendell SP
Dawn Butler SP
Chris Leslie SP
Alan Johnson SP
Owen Smith SP
Jonathan Ashworth SP
Jim Mcmahon SP
Lavery, Ian SP
Harriet Harman SP
Sarah Champion SP
John Mcdonnell SP
David Lammy SP
Rachel Reeves SP
Lucy Powell SP
Nia Griffith SP
Barry Gardiner SP
Chris Williamson SP
Tom Watson SP
Each Way Terms

Odds correct as of 7th Jan, 11:13 . Odds are subject to change.
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